Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.001388 0.001552 0.001716 0.001892 0.002074 0.002258 0.002457
2025-09-21 0.001177 0.001417 0.001665 0.001936 0.002224 0.002519 0.002843
2025-09-28 0.001038 0.001341 0.001660 0.002017 0.002402 0.002801 0.003244
2025-10-05 0.000873 0.001219 0.001595 0.002023 0.002492 0.002985 0.003538
2025-10-12 0.000749 0.001133 0.001559 0.002054 0.002604 0.003187 0.003845
2025-10-19 0.000614 0.001020 0.001485 0.002035 0.002654 0.003318 0.004074
2025-10-26 0.000508 0.000933 0.001432 0.002035 0.002720 0.003462 0.004311
2025-11-02 0.000405 0.000838 0.001364 0.002011 0.002756 0.003568 0.004505
2025-11-09 0.000334 0.000775 0.001330 0.002022 0.002827 0.003712 0.004737
2025-11-16 0.000266 0.000710 0.001287 0.002020 0.002882 0.003834 0.004943
2025-11-23 0.000207 0.000648 0.001245 0.002015 0.002929 0.003946 0.005135
2025-11-30 0.000171 0.000617 0.001238 0.002051 0.003023 0.004108 0.005381
2025-12-07 0.000097 0.000522 0.001160 0.002018 0.003059 0.004232 0.005618
2025-12-14 0.000056 0.000471 0.001137 0.002053 0.003177 0.004452 0.005964
2025-12-21 0.000033 0.000444 0.001147 0.002128 0.003344 0.004729 0.006377
2025-12-28 0.000007 0.000383 0.001101 0.002131 0.003422 0.004903 0.006674
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000339 0.001077 0.002160 0.003530 0.005112 0.007008
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000278 0.001018 0.002139 0.003575 0.005245 0.007256
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000231 0.000975 0.002137 0.003642 0.005402 0.007529
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000180 0.000919 0.002111 0.003677 0.005520 0.007756
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000148 0.000890 0.002122 0.003756 0.005688 0.008039
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000116 0.000853 0.002120 0.003817 0.005833 0.008295
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000087 0.000816 0.002115 0.003872 0.005970 0.008539